Investing

On asymmetric bets, margin of safety and compounding.

Chapters

  1. The Nobel Prize Got Loss Aversion Wrong
  2. The Downward Spiral of Oscar Wilde
  3. You’re Not Undisciplined. Your Habit Is Too Big.
  4. From $32 Billion to 25 Years: The Math He Skipped
  5. Do Less, Get More: The F1 Math
  6. Why Achieving Goals Doesn’t Make You Happy
  7. A Day on the Moon. A Decade of Depression.
  8. We Are All Investors
  9. From Clay to Code: What 24 Technologies Made Scarce
  10. Software Engineers Were Modern Scribes
  11. I Use Evolution to Predict Which Markets Survive AI
  12. Is Getting Rich Luck or Hard Work? | The Market vs. You
  13. I Read 1,000s of Founder Stories. Most Won by Copying…
  14. The Tater Tots Trick for Repurposing Content
  15. Work-Life Balance Is a Myth. Choose Your Table.
  16. You’re in a Status Game Whether You Entered or Not
  17. Your Habits Are Your Investment Portfolio
  18. The NBA Deleted a Shot. Your Habit Needs the Same.
  19. Small Habits, Big Results: 47 Novels Before Work
  20. Stop Trading Your Habits Like Stocks
  21. The 2,000-Day Experiment I Couldn’t Shut Down
  22. Optimizing Your Life Is Killing Your Progress
  23. The $4.6 Billion Lesson in Not Rushing
  24. When You’re Winning… And Lose Everything
  25. The Compounding Trap: Why Selling a Winner Costs You
  26. The Viral Trap: How Social Media Keeps What You Make
  27. Your Habits Have a Hurdle Rate
  28. The Truth About Running Multiple Businesses at Once
  29. How to Stay Consistent (By Finding the Minimum Dose)
  30. 1 Metric for Life Progress: The Daily Tempo Score
  31. Stop Raising Your Standards. Start Proving Them.
  32. The 1 Rule That Stops Me Raising My Goals Too Soon
  33. I Pay 34 Minutes a Day for My Business to Grow
  34. Why Mormons Get Rich and Adventists Live to 100
  35. Your Habits Are Only as Strong as Your Worst Day
  36. Why Rich People and Dying Spacecraft Follow the Same Rule
  37. Habit Banking: What You Can Bank and What You Can’t
  38. Patagonia’s 5-Word Policy for Getting Work Done
  39. How to Focus on One Thing All Day
  40. The 3am Binge Isn’t a Willpower Failure
  41. His Joke Was So Bad It Cost £500 Million
  42. How to Adapt to Change Fast Enough
  43. Consistency Over Intensity: What Pushing Harder Costs
  44. The 4 Habit Levels Where Results Get Insane
  45. What a 20-Mile Night Run Taught Me About Negative Returns
  46. The Economics of Losing Money on Purpose
  47. Force Yourself to Go Faster – Then Pay for It
  48. Fail Fast, Fail Often: My 1-in-20 Hit Rate
  49. I Launched a Product a Day for 17 Days (Then Burned Out)
  50. The Math of Inevitable Success
  51. What Everyone Gets Wrong About Continuous Improvement
  52. How to Make Hard Decisions When You Already Know
  53. The Chinese Mastermind Group Behind Volvo
  54. Every Type of Courage Explained | Which One Do You Have?
  55. Why Poker Pros Fold What Investors Buy
  56. I Got Lucky. That’s the Problem.
  57. 5 Things Chess Teaches Us About Life
  58. How I Play Aggressive But Safe
  59. Madam C.J. Walker: $1.25 to 20,000 Agents
  60. Not All Trade-Offs Are Real
  61. Pick Your Pain
  62. Same Habits, Different Days: My Daily Experiments
  63. Proximity Is Power. Here’s the Math.
  64. The 100x Comparison: Big City vs Small Town
  65. Fifteen Years on One Wall. One Day Off the Business Week.
  66. The Map Is Not the Territory (And Why That’s Fine)
  67. Centralize or Decentralize: How to Actually Decide
  68. Why Smart People Stay Broke
  69. The Same Loop That Killed Sears Runs Your Nights
  70. The 3% Mortgage Debate Is Really About Sleep
  71. Chase Risk Before It Chases You
  72. If You Ain’t Got Nothing, You Ain’t Got Nothing To Lose
  73. The Psychology of Getting Comedy From Failure | Trevor Noah
  74. How I Got My First Customer With 8 Notion Docs
  75. Why I Can’t Drink a Latte (and Billionaires Pay No Tax)
  76. Long Haul Luxuries
  77. The 150-Year Art of Delayed Gratification
  78. Charlie Munger’s Learning Machine (In Plain English)
  79. Not Useful, Yet
  80. Y Combinator’s 1,000-to-1 Bet
  81. What Soros Knew About Prediction Markets
  82. Prediction Markets Are Accurate (That’s the Problem)
  83. AI’s 7-Month Doubling Rule
  84. The 10,000 Hour Rule Counts the Wrong Thing
  85. The Trade You Make 100 Times a Day
  86. Time Is Not Your Most Valuable Asset
  87. I Chose to Be Worst at Replying
  88. Everything Feels Important? It’s a Ranking Problem
  89. One Small Promise, Kept 108 Mornings in a Row
  90. Anti-Habits: The Discipline of Saying No
  91. How I Quit My YouTube Addiction
  92. Why I Turn My Phone Screen Red at 9pm
  93. Remove Choices to Save Your Willpower
  94. I Optimized My Habits Until They Broke
  95. The Navy Cured Scurvy. Then It Uncured It.
  96. You Stopped Feeling It. It Didn’t Stop Working.
  97. 190,000 Taste Tests Said Yes. Customers Said No.
  98. The 200-Million-Year Test for Any Habit
  99. Neil Gaiman’s Two-Draft Rule
  100. My Cold Shower Got Better. My Business Didn’t.
  101. Your Cold Shower Is an Exposure Therapy Rep
  102. Customer Lifetime Value: What ConvertKit Got Wrong
  103. How to Attract the Right Clients With Your Price
  104. Why 1% Better Isn’t Enough
  105. To Achieve Your Goals, Aim at Your Habits
  106. Micro-Failure vs. Macro-Failure
  107. Why Comfort Will Ruin Your Life: The Turkey Problem
  108. Your Habit List Is a Single Point of Failure
  109. The Pattern Behind Every System Collapse
  110. Why I Said No to Venture Capital for Trends.vc
  111. Which Business Model Suits Your Personality?
  112. The 1 Area I Ignored Across 20 Businesses
  113. Don’t Hard-Code Trauma: How to Let Go of the Past
  114. Easy Choices, Hard Life
  115. I Stopped Taking Rest Days. The Binges Started.
  116. Revenge Bedtime Procrastination Isn’t About Sleep. Ask Hermès.
  117. Stop Wasting Your Off Days