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“If I waited for perfection, I would never write a word.”
Margaret Atwood
I chose the model that writes for Multi off a public ranking and it still gets things wrong.
Arena ranks frontier models on text, code, image, video and search. New entries keep landing near the top.
A research group called METR measures the longest job an AI can finish on software tasks. They size that job in how long the same work would take a person.
The length doubled roughly every 7 months.
A model counts as finishing when it comes out right half the time.
From 2019 to 2025 that adds up to about a thousandfold.
A tool that finishes your work half the time is a coin flip you still have to check. Each better model takes a bigger piece of the work off you.
Launch your product with the best model now and swap in better models as they arrive. Or keep waiting and better models arrive while you still have no product or users.
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What could you launch now, then upgrade as tools improve?
